For the summer of 2024, the most probable magnitudes will be El Niño phenomenon coastal would be moderate (55%) and strong (33%), he estimates last statement from the multisectoral commission of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon (Finally) and that means it could be an event similar to the one that happened in 2017 Coastal Child.
He stated this Miguel Yamasaki Koizumi, head of the Center for Disaster Risk Reduction and Prevention (Cenapred), who stated that estimates of a probable event Boy mild doesn’t mean no confusion.
The specialist recalled that the event was presented in 2017 Coastal Child of medium scale and caused serious damage in various areas.
“State Boy in secondary it increased to 55%. Many think that moderation will not cause confusion. The term mild means, by comparison, it’s similar to what we had in 2017, so that was it Boy meek. If we are talking about a strong or very strong El Niño, it happened in 1982, 1983, 1997 and 1998, but Boy 2017 did a lot of damage to us, so you have a rough idea of what can happen”noted k Andean Agency.
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“In 1982-1983 and 1997-1998, Peru endured events Boy very strong, so the damage was considerable.’
He argued that although there is now a temporary drop in sea temperature due to high pressure South PacificWarm seas are expected to continue into the summer.
It will be in the summer of 2024 Finally estimates that in the scenario Coastal Childabove-normal flows could occur, especially in the northwest region of the country. On the other hand, a below-normal flow scenario is likely in the southern part of the Pacific and Titicaca hydrographic areas.
Heavy engineering
Yamasaki confirmed that it is currently in the process of being acquired 700 heavy machines which will assist mitigation work in regions declared in a state of emergency.
He claimed that Armed forces They have 300 to 350 machines that are distributed across the country to respond and are expected to be involved in mitigation before a disaster strikes. catastrophe.
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